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Russia's Ukraine gambit curtails its global influence

Ronald H. Linden, University of Pittsburgh 6-7 minutes

The Conversation



The war in Ukraine will soon tick over into its fourth year. But while previous anniversaries passed with little sense of there being an obvious end to the fighting, things are beginning to feel a little different. Last week, Donald Trump spoke with Russia’s Vladimir Putin in what the U.S. president described as a “highly productive” phone call during which both men apparently agreed to “start negotiations immediately” on ending the conflict.

That phone call, coupled with comments from U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth that seemed to undermine Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO, will not be welcomed in Kyiv.

But even if Trump were able to forge a deal to end the war, would Russia be in a better position now than before its invasion of 2022? The resounding answer from Ronald Linden, an Eastern Europe expert from the University of Pittsburgh, is “no.” The economic and human costs of the conflict to Russia are bad enough. But Moscow has also seen its influence across the world curtailed as it has focused on waging war on its neighbor. It also means Moscow is more in hock to Beijing than at any previous time in its history.

“Talk of exit scenarios from this 3-year-old conflict should not mask the fact that since the invasion began, Putin has overseen one of the worst periods in Russian foreign policy since the end of the Cold War,” Linden argues.

Matt Williams

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